“If every instinct you have is wrong, then the opposite would have to be right”

One of my favorite Seinfeld episodes is called “The Opposite.” In it, George (the perpetually unsuccessful main character) realizes that every decision he has ever made has been wrong, and that his life is the exact opposite of what he wanted it to be. His successful friend Jerry convinces him that if every instinct he has is wrong, then the opposite would have to be right. That feels pretty logical and George goes on to experiment with doing the complete opposite of what he would do normally. I won’t tell you what happens so as not to spoil it for you, but the basic concept from my favorite sitcom applies to investing.

The average investor tends to buy stocks when they are going up in price and tends to panic and sell when they fall. That is a very natural human behavior. However, it is not what leads to wealth creation. In fact, this basic behavior is probably what holds back most people who are actually on the right track (after all, not everyone even decides to save money to invest). There is a lot of literature on this but basically, the reason this holds people back is they tend to buy stocks when they are relatively high and sell when they are relatively low.

While the opposite strategy would be optimal, nobody can perfectly predict the highs and the lows. That’s why I tend to invest all the time (there has not been a month when I didn’t invest in at least 12 years but more likely in about 20 years). It’s not because I am so privileged that I can do this. I’ve invested various amounts, sometimes only a few hundred dollars in a 401k. It’s all about the discipline that helps me ultimately get the average price through time (not relatively low or high). I’ve written about dollar cost averaging in past posts (for example, here).

But this post is not about dollar cost averaging. I held back against my instinct to invest everything I had during the stock market party of 2021. Instead, I continued dollar cost averaging some money every month and holding some cash on the sidelines. I held off some cash so I can do the opposite of most people’s instincts. Most people sell during the “selloff,” when the market seems to be in free fall with the looming recession, Federal Reserve is steadily increasing the interest rate, and a major war is happening in Europe. I won’t perfectly find the bottom and I am not trying to. I’ve just increased the size of my monthly investments to make sure I get more of the “discounted” prices. I am still dollar cost averaging, but I am doing more to bring down the average.

For me, this is the time to put more of my cash to work. Like Warren Buffett, I expect to be a net buyer of stocks over the course of my life, which means I plan to buy more than sell. That means, I generally like it when stocks experience declines in price in the same way a shopper likes to shop during holiday promotions. As Mr. Buffett would also say, the world has gone through many selloffs and all kinds of calamities, but the stock market continues to grow when you zoom out far enough.

It’s a scary time for sure and I will most likely continue to see my portfolio go down in value. But 5-10 years from now and maybe even sooner, I will be glad I followed Jerry’s advice to “do the opposite.”

Here is a clip from that Seinfeld episode for further inspiration and a laugh.

Get kids started early

I was reading Kiplinger and saw a reference to an app that helps parents to introduce kids to saving and investing. This app is called Greenlight and it allows you to send your child or children money to be used for various use cases: spending, saving, investing, and allowance.

It’s probably most useful for older children because one of the key features of the app is a debit card. However, I set it up for my 7-year old to get him exposed to some key personal finance concepts early.

I got him a debit card with his face on it for security and fun. The debit card he will use when he goes to the bookstore or toy store with me or other family members.

I was also very excited to get him to finally buy some stocks. We’ve been talking about buying shares of companies for a while and he’s been getting excited to become an owner. Finally, Greenlight was an easy way to get him going, without having to open some formal brokerage account.

Essentially, I took some money that he received for his birthday and sent it to his Greenlight account. Then, the fun began. He had $100 to work with and he really wanted to invest in companies that he believes are doing well. According to him, the companies he sees him or grownups using a lot are probably doing well and could grow in share price. For a basic analysis, that was good enough for me. That’s how he chose Disney and Apple, both very popular stocks in the app. I then guided him to also get some VOO (S&P 500 Vanguard ETF) to diversify his risk a bit and to have him be an owner of a lot of companies all at once. He really liked that idea.

At first he wanted to only invest $1 or $5 dollars into each stock, but I got him to really develop some conviction about his positions and he leaned in with $20 each. So, he invested $60 into the stock market and kept $40 in his Savings account.

As soon as he invested, the stock market took a hit, so he experienced that part of investing when you see your holdings go down in value. I was a bit bummed at first because I wanted him to really get excited about growth and investing. However, I felt it was good and real for him to also experience the downturn and to display some discipline to not sell. After a few days watching his stocks going down, he was definitely antsy to sell, but he held strong.

On the other hand, his Savings account gets 1% interest, so he also gained $0.02, which was small but nice to experience. Parents can increase this interest out of their pocket if they want the lesson of interest and compounding to be more clearly learned.

There are so many possibilities to explore and lessons to teach through this app, or a similar app. I get excited about thinking what results he might be able to see if he keeps investing small amounts into ETFs, such as VOO, and holds it for decades. Compounding makes young age so much more powerful than meets the eye.

The table below is from The Money Guy Show, one of my favorite podcasts on YouTube. In the table, you can see just how powerful age can be. For example, my son starting at age 7 has a ~394 money multiplier, which means his money will grow roughly that much from this age onwards without any additional contributions. That means that his invested ~$60 could turn into $23.6K by the time he is 65 years old. It also shows that if he puts away ~$26/month from now going forward, he will be a millionaire by the age of 65. It gets much harder to grow money when you start later; it’s obvious, but I hope this serves as a good visual reminder.

Note that there is a monthly subscription fee to get access to the app. I think it’s totally worth it to teach life-long lessons, but it will only make sense if he continues to be interested.

Disclaimer: If you click on my Greenlight link above and signup, we both get $30. All proceeds go to my son’s account and I recommend you do the same.

Be an owner – prioritize equity

Own. Don’t just earn.

Thankfully, my first job out of college was at one of the most important companies of our time – Google. It was also the first stock that I owned and I owned it because tech companies typically give all employees some stock (stock options in earlier stages and Restricted Stock Units at later stages) that vests (becomes theirs) over some period of time. Typically, you have to work at least a year at such a company for some portion of the stock to vest (typically one quarter of the initial grant because the most common vesting period is four years).

I started working at Google before it was a huge public company. Over time, as the company went public, more of my stock vested and the share price grew, the equity portion of my compensation became more meaningful. My initial cash compensation was only $35K/year, though that also grew over time but not as fast as the value of the equity.

So that first job gave me my first taste of ownership. Although I was a junior employee, I benefited from the success of the company just like the CEO, although on a much smaller scale. Of course, everything is relative and for me, it was an amazing start. The other thing Google gave me was a crash course on equity compensation and investing more generally. I had to understand how my equity worked so I learned all about it (tax implications, etc). Google also brought amazing speakers (like Jack Bogle of Vanguard) and offered personal finance classes. Since many people generated significant income from the stock, I think Google’s leadership team thought it would be appreciated if they offered some guidance about what to do with the new found cash.

Since then, I only worked in companies that give equity, except for one year and a summer in management consulting. That was a pure investment of my time into building out the consulting skill set that I thought would be helpful in my business career. It was painful to not get any equity but I am glad I had the experience.

The other two tech companies I worked at after Google either went public (now worth ~$15B) or was acquired (for ~$8B). I now work at a new early stage company that I hope to help grow to success.

It’s not just money and the feeling of ownership that drives me. I love building companies and growing myself in the process. That is also the other advantage: with experience, my equity % has been increasing (size of stake typically grows the more senior you get and the better you are at valuing the equity and negotiating it).

You don’t have to be a founder to own pieces of companies, but it really helps to own parts of companies and not just work there if you want to build wealth. I think of myself as an investor: investor of money and time. I invest my time in companies as an investment in their and my future.

What’s your Net Worth?

Net Worth is a very important personal finance term that I’ll describe below. Before I do that, I want to make one thing clear: while it’s perhaps my favorite personal finance metric, it is a dangerous phrase because some may mistake it for a person’s actual worth. Despite economists’ attempts, there is no financial way to value a person’s worth. Each one of us is so much more than the money we have in the bank. We are parents, children, spouses, brothers, sisters, friends, doctors, pilots, teachers. We are funny, smart, kind. We are so many things. We are complex.

Since this blog is about personal finance, let me share my thoughts about Net Worth anyway.

At a high level, net worth is just a number that is a sum of two things: Assets and Liabilities. Assets are those things which you own, and liabilities are those things which you owe. Assets are things like savings, brokerage, retirement, college savings accounts, as well as tangible assets like house and car. Liabilities are things like credit card debt, college loan, car loan, mortgage.

Net worth is a great measure of your overall financial health. If you have more assets than liabilities, you have positive net worth. Congratulations. If your liabilities outweigh your assets, then you have negative net worth and it’s time to address your financial health. If your assets are larger than your liabilities by $1 million, then you are a millionaire. Big congratulations!

I like tracking metrics because I am a big believer that what you measure is what you improve. I started tracking my net worth in my twenties in a spreadsheet. In my 30s, I discovered a free app called Personal Capital and have been using it pretty much daily. Once you connect all your accounts, you can see where you are today in terms of net worth – all in one place. The app also lets you track the ins and outs of your money, which I find quite helpful to see when I earn dividends across different brokerage accounts and when my purchases go through (it’s a good way to occasionally catch fraudulent credit card transactions).

I don’t think everyone needs to check their net worth daily, although transactions could be good to check frequently if you have many. I do recommend establishing the cadence that’s right for you and sticking to it. If you do well, you’ll probably increase the check-in frequency. If you start to fall behind, you’ll gravitate towards not checking. I encourage you to stay close to it in good times and bad.